Skiljebo SK 4-0 Jarfalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.33
Over 2.5
44%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.49
No
59%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.0pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
39%
+17.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
61%
-17.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
63%
-22.1pp
59%
BTTS No
37%
+22.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skiljebo SK EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.10/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/1.29
-30% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skiljebo SK
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Jarfalla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Skiljebo SK Skiljebo SK 0-3 HT 0-2 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
28.05.2023 Jarfalla Jarfalla 2-2 HT 1-2 Skiljebo SK Skiljebo SK İSÇ4
04.09.2022 Jarfalla Jarfalla 6-0 HT 2-0 Skiljebo SK Skiljebo SK İSÇ4
14.11.2021 Jarfalla Jarfalla 0-0 HT 0-0 Skiljebo SK Skiljebo SK İSÇ4
12.09.2021 Skiljebo SK Skiljebo SK 3-2 HT 2-1 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Skiljebo SK vs Jarfalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skiljebo SK cruised past Jarfalla 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Skiljebo SK found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jarfalla led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Skiljebo SK and 2.60 for Jarfalla.

What was the final score of Skiljebo SK vs Jarfalla?

Skiljebo SK 4-0 Jarfalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skiljebo SK vs Jarfalla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jarfalla win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Skiljebo SK 33%, draw 31%, Jarfalla 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Jarfalla), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jarfalla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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