Astrio 5-1 Vastra Frolunda IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.98
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-3.2pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.9pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.1pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.9pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.6pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astrio EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.45/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.99
+7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Astrio
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Vastra Frolunda IF
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
20.06.2024 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 4-3 HT 3-1 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
23.09.2023 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 1-0 HT 1-0 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Astrio Astrio 0-1 HT 0-1 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
17.09.2022 Astrio Astrio 4-0 HT 1-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
08.09.2021 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 5-3 HT 3-1 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
07.07.2021 Astrio Astrio 3-3 HT 0-1 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Astrio vs Vastra Frolunda IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astrio cruised past Vastra Frolunda IF 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Astrio as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vastra Frolunda IF led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Astrio and 2.33 for Vastra Frolunda IF.

What was the final score of Astrio vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

Astrio 5-1 Vastra Frolunda IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astrio vs Vastra Frolunda IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Astrio win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Astrio 60%, draw 18%, Vastra Frolunda IF 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Astrio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Astrio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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