Franke 1-3 Jarfalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.43
No
50%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.2pp
50%
BTTS No
34%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Franke EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 43%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.06/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.44
-41% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Franke
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Jarfalla
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.06.2024 Jarfalla Jarfalla 1-2 HT 1-1 Franke Franke İSÇ4
13.08.2023 Franke Franke 2-3 HT 0-0 Jarfalla Jarfalla İSÇ4
16.04.2023 Jarfalla Jarfalla 2-3 HT 0-2 Franke Franke İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Franke vs Jarfalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarfalla beat Franke 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Jarfalla made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Franke had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Franke and 2.00 for Jarfalla.

What was the final score of Franke vs Jarfalla?

Franke 1-3 Jarfalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Franke vs Jarfalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Franke win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Franke 37%, draw 28%, Jarfalla 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Franke) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Franke) ✓ Over 2.5
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