BK Forward 1-1 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.61
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
48%
-13.5pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.3pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BK Forward EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.94/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.74
+0% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
332 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BK Forward
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.06.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 4-1 HT 0-1 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
16.10.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-4 HT 0-2 BK Forward BK Forward İSÇ4
14.08.2021 BK Forward BK Forward 5-1 HT 1-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH BK Forward vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BK Forward and Ahlafors IF shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, BK Forward had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for BK Forward and 2.00 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of BK Forward vs Ahlafors IF?

BK Forward 1-1 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BK Forward vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split BK Forward 34%, draw 30%, Ahlafors IF 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ahlafors IF), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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