Perugia vs Pianese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Perugia v Pianese — Team-Based Signals
Perugia vs Pianese Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Perugia 0-1 Pianese — Actual Match Statistics
Pianese squeezed past Perugia 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
File this under upsets: a 59% lean on Perugia went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: possession split 57% to 43% in Perugia's favour, shots finished 6-9.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Perugia against 2.00 for Pianese.
Perugia vs Pianese Result & Final Score
Perugia 0 - 1 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Perugia vs Pianese Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Perugia 59%, draw 23%, Pianese 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Perugia) went the other way.