Pianese 3-3 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 45%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
0.85/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.09
-23% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
3-3
AWAY Perugia
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese and Perugia couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Perugia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pianese had 44% of the ball to Perugia's 56%, shots finished 16-16.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Perugia?

Pianese 3-3 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pianese 33%, draw 25%, Perugia 41%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Perugia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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