Atalanta II 1-2 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.71
6+ Goals
12%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.4pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
1-2
AWAY Alcione
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione squeezed past Atalanta II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atalanta II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atalanta II had 71% of the ball to Alcione's 29%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Alcione?

Atalanta II 1-2 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 46%, draw 29%, Alcione 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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