Triestina 3-0 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -1%
1.37/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.86
-6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-2 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
25.11.2023 Triestina Triestina 4-1 HT 2-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
08.01.2023 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
05.10.2022 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTCK
10.09.2022 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
09.02.2020 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-2 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
3-0
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina ran out comfortable winners over Arzignano Valchiampo 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Triestina made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Triestina had 57% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 43%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Triestina and 1.17 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Triestina 3-0 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Triestina 37%, draw 28%, Arzignano Valchiampo 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triestina), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triestina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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