Arzignano Valchiampo 1-2 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.48
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.79
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.11/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.93
-5% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Triestina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Triestina Triestina 4-1 HT 2-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
08.01.2023 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
05.10.2022 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTCK
10.09.2022 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
09.02.2020 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-2 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
25.09.2019 Triestina Triestina 3-0 HT 2-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1-2
AWAY Triestina
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina edged past Arzignano Valchiampo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Triestina made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 40% of the ball to Triestina's 60%, shots finished 13-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 1.67 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Triestina?

Arzignano Valchiampo 1-2 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 39%, draw 32%, Triestina 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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