Legnago Salus 2-3 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.13
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +25%
1.35/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.12
+11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legnago Salus
2-3
AWAY Pontedera
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Legnago Salus vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontedera squeezed past Legnago Salus 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Pontedera made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Legnago Salus had 45% of the ball to Pontedera's 55%, shots finished 4-25.

What was the final score of Legnago Salus vs Pontedera?

Legnago Salus 2-3 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legnago Salus vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legnago Salus win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Legnago Salus 37%, draw 27%, Pontedera 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Legnago Salus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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