AlbinoLeffe 2-3 Caldiero Terme — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.35
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 28%
-15% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-34% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
2-3
AWAY Caldiero Terme
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Caldiero Terme
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldiero Terme nicked a narrow win over AlbinoLeffe 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AlbinoLeffe at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 59% of the ball to Caldiero Terme's 41%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Caldiero Terme?

AlbinoLeffe 2-3 Caldiero Terme in the Italy - Serie C on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Caldiero Terme?

Before kick-off our model rated a AlbinoLeffe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 42%, draw 29%, Caldiero Terme 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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