Keflavik 4-0 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.38
No
31%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
69%
BTTS Yes
68%
+0.2pp
31%
BTTS No
32%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +31%
1.61/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.14
-9% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +58%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
2W-0D-4L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.14 xG 1.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
247 Passes 351
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 25
6 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2025 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 3-0 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
30.05.2025 Keflavik Keflavik 0-3 HT 0-2 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
24.09.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 2-1 HT 2-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
09.08.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 3-1 HT 0-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
14.05.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 0-2 HT 0-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
15.09.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 3-5 HT 2-3 Keflavik Keflavik İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keflavik
4-0
AWAY HK Kopavogur
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 19
10 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik cruised past HK Kopavogur 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (69%) missed.

On the day, Keflavik had 47% of the ball to HK Kopavogur's 53%, shots finished 17-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HK Kopavogur led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Keflavik and 2.50 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs HK Kopavogur?

Keflavik 4-0 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 49%, draw 21%, HK Kopavogur 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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