Keflavik 0-3 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.23
Over 2.5
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.7pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.59/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.63
+0% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
3W-0D-3L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 1.94
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
247 Passes 351
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 2-1 HT 2-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
09.08.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 3-1 HT 0-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
14.05.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 0-2 HT 0-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
15.09.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 3-5 HT 2-3 Keflavik Keflavik İZK
29.08.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
16.06.2021 Keflavik Keflavik 2-0 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur ran out comfortable winners over Keflavik 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Keflavik at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Keflavik and 1.67 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs HK Kopavogur?

Keflavik 0-3 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - 1st Division on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 53%, draw 21%, HK Kopavogur 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Keflavik), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
30 May 2025
00:00 Thor Akureyri vs Fylkir Analysis →
00:00 UMF Selfoss vs Njardvik Analysis →
21:30 Fjölnir vs IR Reykjavik Analysis →
22:15 Leiknir Reykjavik vs Grindavik Analysis →