UMF Selfoss 0-4 Njardvik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 30 May 2025

📅30/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
50%
Away Win
56%
-6.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Selfoss EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Njardvik EU Bookmakers 61%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.78/2.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.03
+33% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
260 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UMF Selfoss
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Njardvik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
9 Corners 2
16.08.2023 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss 2-3 HT 0-3 Njardvik Njardvik İZL1
08.06.2023 Njardvik Njardvik 1-1 HT 0-1 UMF Selfoss UMF Selfoss İZL1
POST-MATCH UMF Selfoss vs Njardvik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Njardvik ran out comfortable winners over UMF Selfoss 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Njardvik as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Njardvik led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UMF Selfoss and 2.00 for Njardvik.

What was the final score of UMF Selfoss vs Njardvik?

UMF Selfoss 0-4 Njardvik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Selfoss vs Njardvik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Njardvik win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split UMF Selfoss 26%, draw 24%, Njardvik 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Njardvik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Njardvik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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