Thor Akureyri 4-1 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 30 May 2025

Thor Akureyri
4-1 HT 1-0
Fylkir
📅30/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2025

Thor Akureyri vs Fylkir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thor Akureyri v Fylkir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.53/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-14% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Thor Akureyri vs Fylkir Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fylkir
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 5-0 HT 2-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
17.09.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
09.07.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 4-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
18.08.2014 Fylkir Fylkir 4-1 HT 2-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
22.05.2014 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 5-2 HT 5-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
15.03.2014 Fylkir Fylkir 1-1 HT 1-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZLK
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri cruised past Fylkir 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Thor Akureyri found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fylkir led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Thor Akureyri and 2.83 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Fylkir?

Thor Akureyri 4-1 Fylkir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 36%, draw 28%, Fylkir 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
30 May 2025
00:00 UMF Selfoss vs Njardvik Analysis →
21:30 Fjölnir vs IR Reykjavik Analysis →
22:15 Keflavik vs HK Kopavogur Analysis →
22:15 Leiknir Reykjavik vs Grindavik Analysis →