Ried 0-0 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 27 Sep 2025

Ried
0-0 HT 0-0
Grazer AK
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Ried vs Grazer AK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.69
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
19%
4.42
X/2
11%
7.48
X/X
13%
4.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
26.0
2/2
9%
5.99
2/X
5%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 6% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ried v Grazer AK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.43/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.66
-23% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 71%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
17.2 Crosses 13.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Ried vs Grazer AK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Grazer AK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Ried Ried 0-1 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
01.09.2023 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AU2
10.06.2020 Grazer AK Grazer AK 4-2 HT 1-1 Ried Ried AU2
23.08.2019 Ried Ried 1-2 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
18.11.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-2 HT 2-1 Ried Ried AVU
09.09.2006 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU

Ried 0-0 Grazer AK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ried
0-0
AWAY Grazer AK
0.75 xG 0.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
229 Passes 141
69% Pass Accuracy 57%
19 Box Touches 3
16 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ried vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried and Grazer AK fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ried at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ried had 58% of the ball to Grazer AK's 42%, shots finished 12-2, expected goals 0.75 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grazer AK led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ried and 1.83 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of Ried vs Grazer AK?

Ried 0-0 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ried 51%, draw 24%, Grazer AK 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ried), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ried) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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