Neftçi PFK 0-0 Karvan Evlakh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.25
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
4%
2/1
14%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
76%
-4.1pp
15%
Draw
17%
-1.8pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+5.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvan Evlakh EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
418 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Neftçi PFK vs Karvan Evlakh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK and Karvan Evlakh played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Neftçi PFK at 72% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Karvan Evlakh?

Neftçi PFK 0-0 Karvan Evlakh in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Karvan Evlakh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 72%, draw 15%, Karvan Evlakh 13%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Neftçi PFK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
27 Sep 2025
14:30 Shamakhi vs Araz Nahçıvan Analysis →