Shamakhi 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.86/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.00
-25% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.03.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
19.10.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
10.08.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi and Araz Nahçıvan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Araz Nahçıvan at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shamakhi and 1.00 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Shamakhi 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 30%, draw 29%, Araz Nahçıvan 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
27 Sep 2025
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