Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.1pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.13/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.39
-25% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.10.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
10.08.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan and Shamakhi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Araz Nahçıvan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 0.00 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Shamakhi?

Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 44%, draw 25%, Shamakhi 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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