Shamakhi 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+9.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 56%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-24% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.08.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan squeezed past Shamakhi 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Araz Nahçıvan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Shamakhi 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 31%, draw 26%, Araz Nahçıvan 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Neftçi PFK vs Sebail FK Analysis →