Bumprom 3-2 Lida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

Bumprom
3-2 HT 1-0
Lida
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.3pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bumprom EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lida EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
2.30/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.78
+47% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bumprom
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Lida
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2025 Lida Lida 3-1 HT 2-1 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
20.07.2024 Bumprom Bumprom 4-1 HT 3-0 Lida Lida BLR1
14.04.2023 Lida Lida 4-1 HT 1-1 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bumprom
3-2
AWAY Lida
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bumprom vs Lida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bumprom squeezed past Lida 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Bumprom made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Bumprom had 39% of the ball to Lida's 61%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lida led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bumprom and 2.67 for Lida.

What was the final score of Bumprom vs Lida?

Bumprom 3-2 Lida in the Belarus - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bumprom vs Lida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bumprom win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bumprom 40%, draw 25%, Lida 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bumprom), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bumprom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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