Runcorn Linnets 1-1 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 27 Sep 2025

Runcorn Linnets
1-1 HT 1-0
Ashton United
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Runcorn Linnets vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.61
No
37%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+5.0pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Runcorn Linnets v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Runcorn Linnets EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Runcorn Linnets vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Runcorn Linnets and Ashton United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ashton United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Runcorn Linnets vs Ashton United?

Runcorn Linnets 1-1 Ashton United in the England - FA Cup on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Runcorn Linnets vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Runcorn Linnets 34%, draw 24%, Ashton United 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ashton United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ashton United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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