Durban City 3-1 Magesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.33
Over 2.5
25%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.53
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
1.69
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
9%
7.82
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-8.0pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.9pp
75%
Under 2.5
72%
+3.5pp
25%
Over 2.5
28%
-3.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.0pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Durban City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Magesi EU Bookmakers 28%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.16/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.97
+18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
16.0 Crosses 19.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Durban City
3-1
AWAY Magesi
1.66 xG 0.49
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
366 Passes 199
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Durban City vs Magesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Durban City saw off Magesi 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 35% / 30%) promised a tight game; Durban City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Durban City had 60% of the ball to Magesi's 40%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.66 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Durban City vs Magesi?

Durban City 3-1 Magesi in the South Afrika - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Durban City vs Magesi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Durban City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Durban City 35%, draw 35%, Magesi 30%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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