Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-1 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holyhead Hotspur FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.10/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.31
-38% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holyhead Hotspur FC and Caersws shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Holyhead Hotspur FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Caersws?

Holyhead Hotspur FC 1-1 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holyhead Hotspur FC vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holyhead Hotspur FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Holyhead Hotspur FC 43%, draw 24%, Caersws 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holyhead Hotspur FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holyhead Hotspur FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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