Mold Alexandra 1-2 Buckley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.82
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
51%
+6.3pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.84/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/2.19
-6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Buckley Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 Mold Alexandra 3-1 HT 2-0 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
01.04.2025 Buckley Town Buckley Town 1-2 HT 1-2 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
03.02.2024 Mold Alexandra 1-2 HT 0-1 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
30.09.2023 Buckley Town Buckley Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
22.07.2023 Buckley Town Buckley Town 2-1 Mold Alexandra GALLK
07.12.2022 Buckley Town Buckley Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buckley Town squeezed past Mold Alexandra 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mold Alexandra at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mold Alexandra and 1.33 for Buckley Town.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town?

Mold Alexandra 1-2 Buckley Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Buckley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 57%, draw 19%, Buckley Town 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mold Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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