Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-0 Al Minaa Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.13/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.83
+37% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +51%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Minaa Basra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.05.2025 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quwa Al Jawiya squeezed past Al Minaa Basra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Quwa Al Jawiya as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-0 Al Minaa Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 54%, draw 24%, Al Minaa Basra 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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