Duhok 2-3 Al Karkh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Duhok EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.27/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.18
-23% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Duhok
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Karkh
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
03.07.2025 Al Karkh Al Karkh 2-4 HT 1-2 Duhok Duhok IRAK
POST-MATCH Duhok vs Al Karkh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh squeezed past Duhok 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Duhok at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Duhok vs Al Karkh?

Duhok 2-3 Al Karkh in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Duhok vs Al Karkh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Duhok 43%, draw 30%, Al Karkh 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Duhok) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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