Hönefoss BK 3-1 Follo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
16%
3.94
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.51
2-3 Goals
32%
2.13
4-5 Goals
30%
2.36
6+ Goals
17%
4.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+4.3pp
16%
Draw
22%
-6.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Follo EU Bookmakers 27%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.06/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.28
-51% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hönefoss BK
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Follo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.05.2025 Follo Follo 2-3 HT 1-1 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR3
16.10.2021 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Follo Follo NOR4
04.10.2015 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 2-1 HT 0-0 Follo Follo NOR1
06.04.2015 Follo Follo 4-0 HT 2-0 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR1
23.07.2006 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 6-0 HT 3-0 Follo Follo NOR1
17.07.2005 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 2-1 HT 1-0 Follo Follo NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hönefoss BK
3-1
AWAY Follo
46% Ball Possession 54%
30 Total Shots 15
16 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hönefoss BK vs Follo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hönefoss BK beat Follo 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hönefoss BK as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Hönefoss BK had 46% of the ball to Follo's 54%, shots finished 30-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hönefoss BK had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hönefoss BK and 1.33 for Follo.

What was the final score of Hönefoss BK vs Follo?

Hönefoss BK 3-1 Follo in the Norway - 2nd Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hönefoss BK vs Follo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hönefoss BK win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hönefoss BK 58%, draw 16%, Follo 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hönefoss BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hönefoss BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR3 More Norway - 2nd Division
27 Sep 2025
15:00 Grorud IL vs Strindheim Analysis →
15:00 Eidsvold Turn vs Strommen Analysis →
15:00 Stjordals-Blink vs Asker Analysis →
16:00 Arendal vs Flekkeroy Analysis →
16:00 Sandnes Ulf vs Vard Haugesund Analysis →
16:00 Kjelsas vs Levanger Analysis →