Olympiakos 3-2 Levadiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.28
Draw
15%
4.95
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.67
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.98 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.44
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
23.85
X/1
24%
3.57
X/2
3%
21.7
X/X
7%
7.38
2/1
10%
25.0
2/2
3%
20.65
2/X
4%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
74%
+2.2pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.0pp
8%
Away Win
9%
-0.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
2.17/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.66
+29% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
457 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
29.8 Crosses 12.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Levadiakos
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.07 xG 0.78
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
455 Passes 174
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2025 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
20.10.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-2 HT 2-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
05.03.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 6-0 HT 2-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
09.11.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-1 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
22.12.2021 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 2-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUK
01.12.2021 Levadiakos Levadiakos 3-2 HT 2-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
3-2
AWAY Levadiakos
1.93 xG 0.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
290 Passes 338
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Levadiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos edged past Levadiakos 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Olympiakos had 48% of the ball to Levadiakos's 52%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.93 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Olympiakos's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Olympiakos and 0.83 for Levadiakos.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Levadiakos?

Olympiakos 3-2 Levadiakos in the Greece - Super League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Levadiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 76%, draw 15%, Levadiakos 8%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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