Aris Saloniki 1-1 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 27 Sep 2025

Aris Saloniki
1-1 HT 1-0
Panserraikos
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

Aris Saloniki vs Panserraikos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.59
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.65
X/1
27%
3.71
X/2
4%
16.85
X/X
10%
6.51
2/1
9%
23.85
2/2
3%
15.25
2/X
5%
23.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
70%
-0.8pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aris Saloniki v Panserraikos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.55/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.42
-14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
20.7 Crosses 8.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2

Aris Saloniki vs Panserraikos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Panserraikos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.09 xG 0.66
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
403 Passes 237
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
24.08.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
03.02.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
21.10.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
20.03.2011 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-1 HT 3-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
28.11.2010 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN

Aris Saloniki 1-1 Panserraikos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
1-1
AWAY Panserraikos
1.36 xG 0.38
73% Ball Possession 27%
25 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
475 Passes 133
87% Pass Accuracy 64%
35 Box Touches 13
41 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki and Panserraikos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aris Saloniki at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 73% of the ball to Panserraikos's 27%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 1.36 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aris Saloniki and 0.50 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Panserraikos?

Aris Saloniki 1-1 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 69%, draw 20%, Panserraikos 10%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aris Saloniki), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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