Aris Saloniki 1-0 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 25.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.17
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.9
X/1
20%
3.84
X/2
9%
9.8
X/X
12%
5.21
2/1
9%
23.85
2/2
8%
7.85
2/X
11%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.49/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.59
-1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
18.8 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Panserraikos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.97 xG 0.55
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
399 Passes 213
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 5
24.08.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
03.02.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
21.10.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
20.03.2011 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-1 HT 3-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
28.11.2010 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
27.11.2010 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
1-0
AWAY Panserraikos
1.48 xG 0.99
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
414 Passes 309
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki nicked a narrow win over Panserraikos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 58% of the ball to Panserraikos's 42%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.48 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aris Saloniki and 0.67 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Panserraikos?

Aris Saloniki 1-0 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 49%, draw 28%, Panserraikos 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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