Panserraikos 0-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 24 Aug 2024

Panserraikos
0-1 HT 0-1
Aris Saloniki
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Panserraikos vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.13
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
7.56
X/2
12%
4.24
X/X
10%
4.11
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.71
2/X
9%
14.0
Value flag · X/1 at 7.56 — our 18% vs market 9.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+9.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-9.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panserraikos v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 51%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
0.91/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.84
+8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.0 Crosses 15.2
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Panserraikos vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.58 xG 0.90
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
228 Passes 434
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 18
6 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
21.10.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
20.03.2011 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-1 HT 3-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
28.11.2010 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
27.11.2010 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
22.03.2009 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-2 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN

Panserraikos 0-1 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
0-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.49 xG 1.10
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
181 Passes 329
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki edged past Panserraikos 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Aris Saloniki found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Panserraikos had 40% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 60%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.49 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Panserraikos and 1.17 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Panserraikos 0-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 34%, draw 28%, Aris Saloniki 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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