AEK Atina 1-1 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.96
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.83
2-3 Goals
38%
2.17
4-5 Goals
27%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
4.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.2
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
34.5
X/1
26%
3.46
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
8%
12.75
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
6%
34.5
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.5pp
18%
Draw
12%
+6.8pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 8%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
2.19/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.77
+2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -10%
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
488 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 186 · 68%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
26.0 Crosses 10.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Lamia
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.86 xG 0.41
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
486 Passes 190
85% Pass Accuracy 67%
31 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
10.03.2024 Lamia Lamia 0-4 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
24.02.2024 Lamia Lamia 1-3 HT 0-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
12.11.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
21.12.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
20.08.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
1-1
AWAY Lamia
2.12 xG 0.12
80% Ball Possession 20%
30 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 1
564 Passes 93
87% Pass Accuracy 55%
44 Box Touches 2
34 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina and Lamia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AEK Atina at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AEK Atina had 80% of the ball to Lamia's 20%, shots finished 30-3, expected goals 2.12 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for AEK Atina and 0.17 for Lamia.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Lamia?

AEK Atina 1-1 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 68%, draw 18%, Lamia 14%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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