Lamia 0-4 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
66%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
16%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
20.4
1/2
9%
24.0
1/X
5%
27.0
X/1
5%
26.0
X/2
19%
3.4
X/X
8%
8.92
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
38%
1.38
2/X
6%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
+7.7pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.9pp
66%
Away Win
77%
-10.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 81%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
0.65/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.71
-26% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -39%
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
183 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 83%
10.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
12.5 Crosses 21.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
0W-0D-6L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.57 xG 1.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
189 Passes 410
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Lamia Lamia 1-3 HT 0-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
12.11.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
21.12.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
20.08.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
05.01.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
22.09.2021 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
0-4
AWAY AEK Atina
0.14 xG 2.27
30% Ball Possession 70%
2 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 12
184 Passes 515
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
3 Box Touches 29
5 Crosses 42
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lamia vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina cruised past Lamia 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lamia had 30% of the ball to AEK Atina's 70%, shots finished 2-20, expected goals 0.14 to 2.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Lamia and 2.50 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Lamia vs AEK Atina?

Lamia 0-4 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Lamia 15%, draw 19%, AEK Atina 66%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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