Olympiakos 1-3 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.19
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
12%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
21%
4.75
X/2
7%
7.13
X/X
12%
4.31
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
14%
5.2
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
1.22/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.06
-12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
16.7 Crosses 12.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 Passes 315
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
17.01.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
10.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
22.10.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-3 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
08.05.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
09.04.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 2-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
1-3
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.50 xG 1.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
307 Passes 275
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 27
39 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos got the better of Olympiakos 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Olympiakos at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Olympiakos had 54% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 46%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.50 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Olympiakos and 1.33 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos?

Olympiakos 1-3 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 48%, draw 26%, Panathinaikos 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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YUN More Greece - Super League
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