AEK Atina 3-0 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
85%
-14.6pp
18%
Draw
8%
+9.4pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
2.23/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.73
+0% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
456 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 79%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
26.3 Crosses 10.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Lamia
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.74 xG 0.49
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
437 Passes 191
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Lamia Lamia 0-4 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
24.02.2024 Lamia Lamia 1-3 HT 0-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
12.11.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
21.12.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
20.08.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
05.01.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
3-0
AWAY Lamia
2.32 xG 0.18
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
513 Passes 223
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina swept aside Lamia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AEK Atina had 66% of the ball to Lamia's 34%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.32 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for AEK Atina and 0.17 for Lamia.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Lamia?

AEK Atina 3-0 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 71%, draw 18%, Lamia 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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YUN More Greece - Super League
19 May 2024
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