Panathinaikos 2-2 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 24% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.05
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
17%
6.16
X/2
15%
5.29
X/X
13%
4.85
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
15%
3.28
2/X
6%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
0.96/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.88
+26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
13.5 Crosses 15.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Olympiakos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
308 Passes 275
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-3 HT 1-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
04.02.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
17.01.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
10.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
22.10.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0-3 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
08.05.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-2
AWAY Olympiakos
2.10 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
395 Passes 345
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos and Olympiakos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 53% of the ball to Olympiakos's 47%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.10 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.50 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos?

Panathinaikos 2-2 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 35%, draw 26%, Olympiakos 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olympiakos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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