OFI 1-1 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.9
X/2
8%
6.1
X/X
13%
4.18
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
18%
4.53
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.23/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.22
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
18.8 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atromitos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 0.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
385 Passes 295
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
13.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
23.09.2023 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
29.04.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 2-3 HT 2-2 OFI OFI YUN
22.12.2022 OFI OFI 0-1 HT 0-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
20.08.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 3-1 HT 2-1 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
1-1
AWAY Atromitos
0.52 xG 1.89
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
201 Passes 362
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 30
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH OFI vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI and Atromitos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was OFI at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, OFI had 37% of the ball to Atromitos's 63%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.52 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atromitos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OFI and 1.33 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of OFI vs Atromitos?

OFI 1-1 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split OFI 43%, draw 26%, Atromitos 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OFI), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFI) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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