Mlada Boleslav 1-1 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +16%
2.01/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.40
+32% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
16.5 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Karvina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.12.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-2 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
05.08.2023 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 0-2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
06.03.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
03.10.2021 Karvina Karvina 0-1 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
28.02.2021 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
26.09.2020 Karvina Karvina 0-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1-1
AWAY Karvina
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
263 Passes 348
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav and Karvina shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mlada Boleslav at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 46% of the ball to Karvina's 54%, shots finished 14-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 0.50 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Karvina?

Mlada Boleslav 1-1 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 41%, draw 26%, Karvina 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mlada Boleslav), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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