Norwich City 3-3 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 27 Oct 2024

Norwich City
3-3 HT 1-3
Middlesbrough
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Norwich City vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 28% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.92
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.2
X/1
16%
6.23
X/2
11%
5.53
X/X
9%
4.94
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
13%
3.31
2/X
8%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+8.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.1pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Norwich City v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.22/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.05
-7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.7 Crosses 17.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Norwich City vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.94 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
380 Passes 360
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.03.2024 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3-1 HT 2-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
24.10.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 1-2 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
14.04.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5-1 HT 4-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
12.11.2022 Norwich City Norwich City 1-2 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
30.01.2021 Norwich City Norwich City 0-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
21.11.2020 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-1 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL

Norwich City 3-3 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
3-3
AWAY Middlesbrough
1.10 xG 3.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
439 Passes 436
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 39
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Middlesbrough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City and Middlesbrough couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Norwich City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Norwich City had 50% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 50%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.10 to 3.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Norwich City and 2.00 for Middlesbrough.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Middlesbrough?

Norwich City 3-3 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Middlesbrough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 43%, draw 26%, Middlesbrough 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Norwich City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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