Rosengard 4-1 Lunds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosengard EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 48%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
0.47/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.19
-67% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosengard
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lunds BK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2024 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Rosengard Rosengard İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosengard
4-1
AWAY Lunds BK
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rosengard vs Lunds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosengard cruised past Lunds BK 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lunds BK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rosengard had 29% of the ball to Lunds BK's 71%, shots finished 8-18.

What was the final score of Rosengard vs Lunds BK?

Rosengard 4-1 Lunds BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosengard vs Lunds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lunds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rosengard 31%, draw 27%, Lunds BK 42%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lunds BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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