AFC Eskilstuna 2-1 Pitea IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 26%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +30%
1.59/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.39
-17% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pitea IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2024 Pitea IF Pitea IF 2-1 HT 0-0 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
2-1
AWAY Pitea IF
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Eskilstuna vs Pitea IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Eskilstuna edged past Pitea IF 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Eskilstuna as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, AFC Eskilstuna had 51% of the ball to Pitea IF's 49%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of AFC Eskilstuna vs Pitea IF?

AFC Eskilstuna 2-1 Pitea IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Eskilstuna vs Pitea IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Eskilstuna win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AFC Eskilstuna 50%, draw 24%, Pitea IF 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Eskilstuna), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Eskilstuna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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