Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 26% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.42
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.29
X/2
8%
6.05
X/X
17%
4.43
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
19%
4.13
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.41/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.43
+1% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
22.9 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Berlin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.38
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 Passes 430
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
04.11.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-3 HT 0-2 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
04.04.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 HT 2-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AFK
19.03.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
01.10.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 HT 2-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
17.04.2022 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-0 HT 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Berlin
1-1
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.45 xG 1.81
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 Passes 379
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Union Berlin had 49% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 51%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.45 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union Berlin and 1.17 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Union Berlin 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 38%, draw 28%, Eintracht Frankfurt 34%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Berlin)
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