Bochum 0-5 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
61%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
4.58
Over 2.5
70%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
11.2
2-3 Goals
33%
2.68
4-5 Goals
32%
2.3
6+ Goals
20%
3.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
19.4
1/2
9%
18.15
1/X
6%
27.5
X/1
5%
31.0
X/2
20%
3.79
X/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.15
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.27
2/X
4%
29.5
Value flag · X/X at 14.15 — our 11% vs market 3.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
8%
+9.8pp
21%
Draw
11%
+10.0pp
61%
Away Win
81%
-19.8pp
30%
Under 2.5
18%
+11.6pp
70%
Over 2.5
82%
-11.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.9pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 85%
+28% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.00/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/1.03
+28% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -27%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
237 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 543 · 85%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.4
14.7 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67
0.79 xG 3.80
34% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 6
214 Passes 490
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 50
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.02.2024 Bochum Bochum 3-2 HT 2-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
23.09.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 7-0 HT 4-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
11.02.2023 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
21.08.2022 Bochum Bochum 0-7 HT 0-4 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
12.02.2022 Bochum Bochum 4-2 HT 4-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
18.09.2021 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 7-0 HT 4-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
0-5
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.56 xG 2.20
27% Ball Possession 73%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
188 Passes 669
69% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih swept aside Bochum 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (70%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Bochum had 27% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 73%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.56 to 2.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bochum and 4.67 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Bayern Münih?

Bochum 0-5 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Bochum 18%, draw 21%, Bayern Münih 61%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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