Braunschweig 1-1 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.48
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
18%
4.6
X/2
8%
8.13
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.3
2/2
17%
5.53
2/X
7%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.79/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.88/2.36
-25% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
21.6 Crosses 21.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.54 xG 1.66
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
224 Passes 336
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2020 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-0 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
11.11.2019 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-1 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL3
28.04.2019 Braunschweig Braunschweig 3-3 HT 1-2 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
26.11.2018 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 3-0 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
1-1
AWAY Preussen Münster
0.51 xG 0.43
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
432 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braunschweig and Preussen Münster shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Braunschweig at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Braunschweig had 57% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 43%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.51 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Braunschweig and 1.75 for Preussen Münster.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Preussen Münster?

Braunschweig 1-1 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Braunschweig win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 45%, draw 25%, Preussen Münster 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Braunschweig), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Braunschweig) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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