Darmstadt 98 1-1 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.09
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.9
X/1
16%
3.92
X/2
9%
10.25
X/X
9%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.15
2/2
8%
7.97
2/X
8%
15.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
1.73/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/2.98
-15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +147% / +73%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
317 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 67%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
21.5 Crosses 22.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
1-1
AWAY Ulm 1846
0.88 xG 0.67
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
579 Passes 217
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 and Ulm 1846 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Darmstadt 98 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 69% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 31%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 0.88 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Ulm 1846?

Darmstadt 98 1-1 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 51%, draw 26%, Ulm 1846 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Darmstadt 98) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✓ BTTS Yes
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