Energie Cottbus 5-1 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 27 Oct 2024

Energie Cottbus
5-1 HT 4-1
1860 München
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Energie Cottbus vs 1860 München Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
7.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.87
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
11%
12.55
X/1
15%
5.08
X/2
6%
6.84
X/X
10%
5.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
2/2
16%
4.34
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.9pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Energie Cottbus v 1860 München — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
0.81/3.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.14
+22% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
292 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 84%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.9 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Energie Cottbus vs 1860 München Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
1W-2D-3L
AWAY 1860 München
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.69 xG 1.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
243 Passes 255
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.02.2019 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
31.08.2018 1860 München 1860 München 2-0 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
26.03.2014 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL2
06.10.2013 1860 München 1860 München 0-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
07.04.2013 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
26.10.2012 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-0 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL2

Energie Cottbus 5-1 1860 München — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
5-1
AWAY 1860 München
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 11
329 Passes 400
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus swept aside 1860 München 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Energie Cottbus as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 46% of the ball to 1860 München's 54%, shots finished 10-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.17 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs 1860 München?

Energie Cottbus 5-1 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 42%, draw 30%, 1860 München 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Energie Cottbus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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