27/10/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Luckenwalde vs VFC Plauen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
30%
Draw
25%
30%
Away Win
31%
59%
Under 2.5
45%
41%
Over 2.5
55%
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
52%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Luckenwalde v VFC Plauen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Luckenwalde
EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
VFC Plauen
EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% /
-17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+24% /
+24%
1.52/1.67
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/0.64
-11%
/
-24%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-25%
/
+148%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
287 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
198 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.2
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Luckenwalde vs VFC Plauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
VFC Plauen squeezed past Luckenwalde 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; VFC Plauen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs VFC Plauen?
Luckenwalde 0-1 VFC Plauen in the Germany - Regional League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs VFC Plauen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Luckenwalde win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 40%, draw 30%, VFC Plauen 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Luckenwalde) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Luckenwalde)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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ALMBÖL
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