Luckenwalde 0-1 VFC Plauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY VFC Plauen EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.52/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.64
-11% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +148%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs VFC Plauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VFC Plauen squeezed past Luckenwalde 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; VFC Plauen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs VFC Plauen?

Luckenwalde 0-1 VFC Plauen in the Germany - Regional League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs VFC Plauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luckenwalde win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 40%, draw 30%, VFC Plauen 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Luckenwalde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luckenwalde) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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