Havelse 2-3 BW Lohne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.98/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.74
+1% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havelse
2W-1D-1L
AWAY BW Lohne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Havelse Havelse 1-0 HT 1-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
17.09.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 1-1 HT 0-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
02.04.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 1-2 HT 1-2 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
28.09.2022 Havelse Havelse 0-3 HT 0-1 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Havelse vs BW Lohne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BW Lohne nicked a narrow win over Havelse 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Havelse carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Havelse had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Havelse and 1.25 for BW Lohne.

What was the final score of Havelse vs BW Lohne?

Havelse 2-3 BW Lohne in the Germany - Regional League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs BW Lohne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Havelse 56%, draw 22%, BW Lohne 22%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Havelse), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Havelse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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