Grazer AK 1-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
4.71
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
36%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.74
2-3 Goals
44%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.83
6+ Goals
9%
7.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
18%
8.66
1/2
6%
20.6
1/X
9%
16.5
X/1
11%
12.0
X/2
15%
3.88
X/X
14%
6.44
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
15%
1.85
2/X
7%
16.0
Value flag · 1/1 at 8.66 — our 18% vs market 7.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
18%
+16.8pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.3pp
36%
Away Win
61%
-25.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 66%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -4%
0.00/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.12
-100% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -19%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
Crosses 21.1
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
08.11.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
20.08.2006 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-4 HT 0-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
29.04.2006 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
25.02.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
25.10.2005 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-2 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
14.08.2005 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
1-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
0.50 xG 1.64
26% Ball Possession 74%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
135 Passes 538
63% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK and Rapid Wien couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grazer AK had 26% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 74%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.50 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Grazer AK and 1.50 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Rapid Wien?

Grazer AK 1-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 35%, draw 29%, Rapid Wien 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapid Wien), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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